• The global almond flour market is projected to grow significantly, with a 2024 market value between USD 1.21 billion and USD 2.50 billion, and forecasts suggesting it could reach USD 2.92–6.19 billion by 2034–2035, translating to a CAGR of 7.6–9.2%.

• North America leads the market due to strong consumer awareness and proximity to almond supply, while Asia-Pacific is the fastest-growing region, driven by rising disposable incomes and Westernized baking trends.

• Organic almond flour is emerging as a premium segment, potentially representing 60% of revenue in some markets, highlighting the consumer preference for clean-label and traceable products.

• E-commerce is crucial for market penetration, enabling trial and repeat purchases, while product innovation in blends and baking mixes is expanding almond flour applications beyond traditional uses.

Almond Flour Market Overview & Positioning

Executive summary

The global almond flour market is on a robust growth trajectory, propelled by sustained consumer migration to gluten-free, keto/paleo, and clean‑label diets; expanding e‑commerce availability; and product innovation (e.g., superfine blanched flours, blends, and baking mixes). Across reputable 2025 market trackers, the size and forecast vary due to scope and methodology, but converge on a mid-to-high single-digit to low double-digit CAGR over the next decade. Recent baselines place 2024 market value between approximately USD 1.21 billion (industry “narrow scope”) and USD 2.50 billion (broader scope), with projections reaching USD 2.92–6.19 billion by 2034–2035, implying a 7.6–9.2% CAGR band depending on source, coverage, and forecast horizon (Research and Markets 2025; Market Research Future 2025; Expert Market Research 2025) (Research and Markets, 2025; Market Research Future, 2025; Expert Market Research, 2025).

North America currently leads, benefitting from strong consumer awareness and proximity to California almond supply, while Europe remains sizable on the back of clean-label and free‑from adoption. Asia‑Pacific is the fastest-growing region as Westernized baking formats spread and disposable incomes rise. Notably, online channels and D2C brands have accelerated trial and repeat for household baking, while food manufacturers expand usage in gluten‑free bakery, snacks, and bars. Organic—and specifically organic blanched, superfine flours—represent the premium growth tier; one 2025 analysis indicates organic variants may already command roughly 60% of revenue in some markets, highlighting consumer willingness to pay for provenance and certifications in sensitive categories (Persistence Market Research, 2025) (Persistence Market Research, 2025).

Our view: Operators that pair disciplined raw-material risk management with premium, sustainability-forward positioning (organic, non‑GMO, traceable, regenerative) and superior baking performance (superfine blanched, tight particle size specs) will be best positioned to secure share in bakery and confectionery, while value-oriented conventional flours win industrial blend applications. E‑commerce remains indispensable for household penetration; for B2B, technical support and consistent quality are the decisive advantages.

Market size and outlook

A comparison of leading 2025 sources underscores the methodological spread but consistent growth narrative:

Methodological observation: The MRFR figure is materially higher at the baseline and endpoint, likely reflecting broader product coverage (e.g., inclusion of almond meal formats, wider channel or end-use coverage). EMR and R&M “2034” estimates are closely aligned, suggesting comparable scope. We therefore advise planning with a CAGR range of 8–9% for the category overall through 2034–2035, recognizing that premium organic/blanched SKUs and APAC geographies can outpace the mean (Research and Markets, 2025; Expert Market Research, 2025; Market Research Future, 2025; Persistence Market Research, 2025) (Research and Markets, 2025; Expert Market Research, 2025; Market Research Future, 2025; Persistence Market Research, 2025).

Growth drivers and demand patterns

• Gluten‑free and paleo/keto adoption: Almond flour’s naturally gluten‑free profile and low‑carb macronutrient content drive substitution for wheat flour in bakery, desserts, and bars. As awareness of celiac disease and gluten sensitivity increases globally, almond flour’s role as a versatile, label‑friendly substitute strengthens (Market Research Future, 2025; R&M 2034) (Market Research Future, 2025; Research and Markets, 2025).

• Clean‑label and organic premiumization: Consumers increasingly seek non‑GMO, organic, and traceable ingredients. Analyses indicate organic almond flour can represent the majority of category value in some markets, illustrating a willingness to pay for certifications—and rewarding suppliers that can guarantee consistent quality and provenance (Persistence Market Research, 2025) (Persistence Market Research, 2025).

• E‑commerce and home baking: The proliferation of online retail and D2C has lowered trial barriers and enables richer education (recipes, videos), boosting household usage. This channel also supports niche variants (superfine, flavored, blends) and bulk packs for avid bakers (R&M 2031, R&M 2034) (Research and Markets, 2025; Research and Markets, 2025).

• Product innovation and blends: Manufacturers introduce flavored SKUs, functional blends (e.g., with coconut, cassava, oat fiber), and baking mixes that improve texture and performance, expanding applications beyond traditional baked goods to savory systems and RTE snacks (Market Research Future, 2025) (Market Research Future, 2025).

• Plant‑based macro trend: Almond flour benefits from the broader almond ingredient halo (milks, butters, snacks), with investment and marketing scale lifting overall category salience. Adjacent almond ingredients markets are also expanding, underscoring enduring demand fundamentals (Yahoo Finance, 2025) (Yahoo Finance, 2025).

Market segmentation

The category is typically segmented by type, form, application, end use, and channel.

(Citations: Persistence Market Research, 2025; Expert Market Research, 2025; Research and Markets, 2025; Research and Markets, 2025)

Regional landscape

• North America: Holds the largest share, supported by strong almond production (California), well‑developed gluten‑free/keto retail sets, and a dynamic ecosystem of specialty brands and private label. Historical analyses place North America at approximately 36.8% share (2019), and it remains the category anchor in 2025 (Allied Market Research, 2020; Persistence Market Research, 2025) (Allied Market Research, 2020; Persistence Market Research, 2025).

• Europe: Mature free‑from market with strong clean‑label expectations; high potential for organic and specialty variants via specialty retailers and e‑grocery (EMR, 2025) (Expert Market Research, 2025).

• Asia‑Pacific: Fastest growth, as Western‑style baking spreads and digital commerce rises; higher elasticity to price but growing premium niches in Australia, Japan, South Korea, and urban China/India (EMR, 2025; PMR, 2025) (Expert Market Research, 2025; Persistence Market Research, 2025).

Competitive landscape

The market is fragmented, with global brands, specialized mills, and private labels. Leading and notable players include Blue Diamond Growers, Bob’s Red Mill, Honeyville, NOW Foods, King Arthur Baking, Anthony’s Goods, Barney Butter, Nature’s Eats, WellBees, Almondco Australia, and others. Strategies emphasize quality differentiation (superfine blanched texture, micro‑sifting), organic/non‑GMO certifications, and omnichannel expansion (Market Research Future, 2025; Research and Markets 2031; Allied Market Research, 2020) (Market Research Future, 2025; Research and Markets, 2025; Allied Market Research, 2020).

(Citations: Market Research Future, 2025; Allied Market Research, 2020)

Risks and constraints

• Raw material volatility and climate/water impacts: Almond pricing and availability are sensitive to California weather and water economics. Margin management requires hedging strategies, diversified sourcing where feasible, and inventory discipline (industry context; see also adjacent almond ingredients growth and capital investment patterns) (Yahoo Finance, 2025) (Yahoo Finance, 2025).

• Trade/tariff and macro uncertainties: 2024–2025 analyses flag exposure to potential tariff changes, persistent supply chain challenges, and inflationary input costs that pressure pricing and service levels (R&M 2024–2032 outlook) (Research and Markets, 2025).

• Regulatory and labeling rigor: Allergen controls, gluten‑free claims substantiation, and organic/non‑GMO certifications necessitate robust QA, documentation, and audit readiness—especially for export markets (Allied Market Research, 2020; Persistence Market Research, 2025) (Allied Market Research, 2020; Persistence Market Research, 2025).

• Category competition and substitutes: Other gluten‑free flours (e.g., coconut, cassava, rice, oat) and seed‑based blends intensify competition; differentiation hinges on consistent functionality and clean‑label trust (R&M 2031) (Research and Markets, 2025).

Strategic positioning recommendations

Based on the growth contours and the relative reliability of 2025 sources, we recommend a segmented positioning strategy that aligns SKU architecture, claims, and channels to distinct demand pools:

(Citations underpinning the segmentation and channel conclusions: Research and Markets, 2025; Expert Market Research, 2025; Research and Markets, 2025; Persistence Market Research, 2025)

Go‑to‑market and operating implications

• Anchor on baking performance and trust signals: For retail, bake quality is the primary conversion lever; investments in superfine milling, micro‑sifting, and freshness (nitrogen flush, moisture control) will translate to higher repeat. Organic, non‑GMO, and gluten‑free certifications remain must‑haves at premium price points (Persistence Market Research, 2025) (Persistence Market Research, 2025).

• Expand content and community: Recipes, video demos, and co‑creation with baking influencers reduce perceived risk and enable trading up to premium variants. This is especially potent online, where almond flour SKUs are discovered and compared (R&M 2034) (Research and Markets, 2025).

• Offer blends and “problem‑solving” mixes: Texture and structural challenges (e.g., binding, rise) can be addressed with targeted blends or mixes that lower the barrier for mainstream consumers. Flavored seasonal SKUs add news value (Market Research Future, 2025) (Market Research Future, 2025).

• De‑risk supply and margin: Hedge almond input costs; consider longer‑term offtake with growers/co‑ops; maintain safety stock policies for core SKUs; pursue packaging optimization to offset logistics costs. Prepare playbooks for tariff or regulatory shifts in export markets (R&M 2031) (Research and Markets, 2025).

• Lean into sustainability storytelling: Beyond organic, explore regenerative almond sourcing, water stewardship initiatives, lifecycle‑reduced packaging, and transparent lot‑level traceability—elements that resonate with premium buyers and retail buyers’ ESG screens (PMR 2025) (Persistence Market Research, 2025).

Competitive benchmarks and positioning map (narrative)

• Performance leadership: Brands like King Arthur Baking and Bob’s Red Mill win with recipe ecosystems and perceived reliability. A challenger play should stress measured performance metrics (e.g., sieve analysis, absorption rates) and third‑party testing to stand out in B2B and prosumer segments (Allied Market Research, 2020; R&M 2031) (Allied Market Research, 2020; Research and Markets, 2025).

• Scale and integration: Blue Diamond leverages almond supply strength; for smaller brands, strategic co‑packing and partnerships with mills can replicate some benefits while preserving agility (Market Research Future, 2025) (Market Research Future, 2025).

• E‑commerce velocity: Anthony’s Goods demonstrates the power of marketplace SEO, fast iteration, and review moats. New entrants should prioritize PDP clarity (mesh fineness, blanched vs natural), certifications, and recipe content density (R&M 2034) (Research and Markets, 2025).

Forecast consensus and planning guidance

While point estimates differ, the most credible 2025 sources triangulate to:

• Market value midpoint: Use USD 1.2–2.5 billion as a 2024 baseline band; plan for 8–9% CAGR through 2034–2035, with upside in premium organic and APAC (R&M 2034; MRFR 2035; EMR 2034) (Research and Markets, 2025; Market Research Future, 2025; Expert Market Research, 2025).

• Application mix: Assume bakery remains >50% of demand in most geographies; allocate R&D to improve cake/loaf performance and shelf-life in GF systems (R&M 2031; EMR 2025) (Research and Markets, 2025; Expert Market Research, 2025).

• Channel split: Expect continued online share gains, but preserve omnichannel to capture impulse in specialty retail and maintain visibility with foodservice distributors (R&M 2031/2034) (Research and Markets, 2025; Research and Markets, 2025).

Conclusion

The almond flour category presents a clear, durable growth path through 2035. Despite near‑term input, trade, and regulatory complexities, its alignment with gluten‑free, clean‑label, and plant‑based macrotrends—and the practical baking benefits of superfine blanched formats—support sustained volume and premiumization. In our view, the winning posture is a barbell: premium, performance‑led organic blanched SKUs for household and artisanal baking; and reliable, cost‑optimized conventional specifications for industrial blends and bakery/snack manufacturing. Executing this play requires supply discipline, verified quality systems, and best‑in‑class content and community to educate and retain customers online. With these elements in place, brands can credibly target above‑market growth in the most attractive segments and regions over the next decade (Research and Markets, 2025; Market Research Future, 2025; Expert Market Research, 2025; Persistence Market Research, 2025; Allied Market Research, 2020) (Research and Markets, 2025; Market Research Future, 2025; Expert Market Research, 2025; Persistence Market Research, 2025; Allied Market Research, 2020).

References

• Allied Market Research. (2020). Almond Flour Market Size, Share, Growth | Report Forecast 2027. Allied Market Research. https://www.alliedmarketresearch.com/almond-flour-market-A06392

• Expert Market Research. (2025, August). Almond Flour Market Size, Share & Industry Growth | 2034. Expert Market Research. https://www.expertmarketresearch.com/reports/almond-flour-market

• Market Research Future. (2025). Almond Flour Market Size, Share, Trends, Industry Reports, 2035. Market Research Future. https://www.marketresearchfuture.com/reports/almond-flour-market-18860

• Persistence Market Research. (2025). Almond Flour Market Size, Share & Growth Analysis, 2032. Persistence Market Research. https://www.persistencemarketresearch.com/market-research/almond-flour-market.asp

• Research and Markets. (2025). Almond Flour Market Size, Share, Growth – Industry Demand, Report and Forecast 2025–2034. Research and Markets. https://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/5934659/almond-flour-market-size-share-growth

• Research and Markets. (2025). Almond Flour Market Report: Trends, Forecast and Competitive Analysis to 2031. Research and Markets. https://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/5988997/almond-flour-market-report-trends-forecast

• Yahoo Finance. (2025, May 21). Almond Ingredients Market Forecasts 2025–2030: Major Players like Barry Callebaut and Blue Diamond Growers Seek Opportunities in Expanding Almond Market. Yahoo Finance. https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/almond-ingredients-market-forecasts-2025-133700172.html

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the projected market value of almond flour by 2024?

The almond flour market is expected to be valued between approximately USD 1.21 billion and USD 2.50 billion in 2024, depending on the scope of analysis. This reflects a robust growth trajectory driven by increasing consumer demand for gluten-free and clean-label products.

What is the expected CAGR for the almond flour market through 2035?

The almond flour market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 7.6% to 9.2% through 2034-2035. This growth is fueled by trends in health-conscious eating and the rising popularity of e-commerce channels.

Which region currently leads the almond flour market?

North America currently leads the almond flour market, holding a significant share due to strong consumer awareness and proximity to California's almond supply. As of 2019, North America accounted for approximately 36.8% of the market share.

What are the main growth drivers for the almond flour market?

Key growth drivers include the increasing adoption of gluten-free, keto, and paleo diets, as well as rising consumer preference for clean-label and organic products. E-commerce growth and product innovation, such as flavored and blended almond flours, also contribute significantly to market expansion.

How significant is the organic segment within the almond flour market?

The organic segment is a major growth driver, with organic almond flour potentially accounting for around 60% of revenue in some markets. This indicates a strong consumer willingness to pay a premium for certified organic products.

What are the primary applications for almond flour?

Almond flour is predominantly used in bakery products, which account for over 50% of global demand. Additionally, it is increasingly being utilized in snacks, bars, and confectionery, expanding its application beyond traditional baked goods.

How does e-commerce impact the almond flour market?

E-commerce has significantly lowered barriers to trial and increased household usage of almond flour. This channel supports a diverse range of products, including niche variants and bulk packs, enhancing consumer education and engagement through online recipes and videos.